A reader recently asked how the interest is calculated on Lending Club loans and what her return in dollars might be.
Here’s my answer:
Loans through Lending Club are amortized over 36 months to keep payments fixed. The quoted rate is the yearly rate, so 1/12 the rate is applied to the outstanding principal each month. To determine your return, you’ll need to calculate the monthly payment, take out the 1% payment service fee and multiple by 36 months. I believe that estimated monthly payments are shown when you consider a loan, but if not, you can use the following formula in Microsoft Excel, Google Spreadsheets, or a similar program: =PMT(rate/12,36,-loan) where rate is the quoted rate as a decimal (13% would be 0.13) and loan is the amount that you loan. For example, 10% interest on a $3000 loan would be represented as =PMT(0.10/12,36,-3000), which returns a monthly payment of $96.80. Multiplying by .99 is what you would get each month after the 1% service fee is taken out. So you would get $95.83 each month. After 36 months, you will have received $3450.01 for a profit of $450.01. That amount would be subject to taxes as interest income, so your after tax profit would be $450.01 x (1-0.28) = $324.01. The 0.28 in the formula assumes the 28% tax bracket, so substitute your actual tax bracket there if its something different.
Putting the entire calculation into a single formula:
profit after taxes = loan - PMT(rate/12,36,-loan)*.99*36*(1-.28).
Remember that’s the maximum profit and any defaults would reduce the amount.
A $3000 loan was used for this example, but funding large amounts to a single loan adds much more risk. A better way to think of this example is a $3000 portfolio (spread across 120 loans of $25 each) with an average return of 10%.
This entire post assumes that you make your initial investment and then let the payments you receive just sit there, or withdraw them. In reality, you would probably reinvest some ( or all) of the payments you receive each month, which could result in a much higher profit. Just reinvesting the principal received, for example, would raise your annual return to the quoted interest rate.
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November 13th, 2008 at 2:49 pm
Poor Loans are often compounded on a monthly or annual basis making the total amount payable vary depending on the method of calculation (ie you generally pay less when interested is calculated and added daily). It’s quite a complicated formula but you’ve provided a good example.
November 13th, 2008 at 3:11 pm
@Andy, Were you categorizing loans at Lending Club as what you call “Poor Loans” or saying that their interest calculations are similar? Loans at Lending Club don’t fit your Poor Loans definition, as they are only available to lenders with good credit (FICO score 640+ and non-mortgage debt-to-income ratio below 25%).